National Supply Pressure Index
A composite score summarising whether upstream supply conditions may push Australian pump prices higher or lower.
Supply Pressure Index
Moderate
Score 34/100
↑ Rising
+3 pts this week
LowModerateElevatedHighCritical
Moderate supply pressure suggests wholesale costs are relatively stable this week, but rising retail velocity means pump prices may still climb in the short term.
Score components
- Retail price velocity (7-day metro ULP change)38/100 · 30% weight
- Import volume trend (MoM petrol/diesel)32/100 · 25% weight
- Fuel security days-of-cover vs minimum28/100 · 20% weight
- Port congestion proxy (notices + import lag)35/100 · 15% weight
- Wholesale proxy (benchmark + AUD trend)40/100 · 10% weight
Prices in affected areas
Updated 10 Mar 2026 · Full methodology