Fuel Intelligence Methodology
Transparent scoring, official data sources, and editorial standards for the Australian Fuel Intelligence Hub.
Supply Pressure Index
The index is a weighted composite from 0 to 100. Higher scores indicate conditions that may translate into upward pressure on wholesale and retail fuel prices.
- 30% — Retail price velocity (7-day metro ULP change)
- 25% — Import volume trend (MoM petrol/diesel)
- 20% — Fuel security days-of-cover vs minimum
- 15% — Port congestion proxy (notices + import lag)
- 10% — Wholesale proxy (benchmark + AUD trend)
Score bands
- Low: 0–20
- Moderate: 21–40
- Elevated: 41–60
- High: 61–80
- Critical: 81–100
Import Arrival Monitor
Scheduled arrivals are compiled from public port authority notices and DCCEEW trade statistics. We do not use live AIS vessel tracking or commercial maritime APIs.
Primary data sources
- DCCEEW Australian Petroleum Statistics (APS)
- DCCEEW Liquid Fuel Security reporting
- ABS International Trade in Goods (HS 27 petroleum)
- Victoria FairFuel Open Data (retail price velocity)
- Port of Melbourne, NSW Ports, Port of Brisbane, Fremantle Ports public notices
- Reserve Bank of Australia exchange rate data
Update cadence
- Retail-linked components: hourly when live FairFuel data is available
- Port notices and import schedules: daily cron + weekly editorial review
- APS import statistics: monthly (official release schedule)
- Fuel security indicators: quarterly or when DCCEEW publishes updates
Questions? See our retail pricing methodology or contact us.